
One by one they grinned, backslapped, and handshook their way past each other into the small conference room. Hereāattended by his earnest aidesāwas Assemblyman Sam Blakeslee, the lawmaker who had gathered the group together.
Already at the table, fiddling with the projector, was the oil-spill expert with the sardonic sense of humor (his screen-saver image was an explosively burning oil platform). Beside him was the methodical environmental scientist, and in the back was the Coast Guard captain, standing straight as a spar. There was also the silver-haired donāt-call-him-a-lawyer lawyer and, finally, the enthusiastic sunken-ship expert and historian keen for a return trip in a yellow submarine.
You could see anticipation in their eyes and feel it in their energy, like young boys eyeing a remote-controlled toy monster truck under the Christmas tree. Their topic for the day was something to be excited about, a possible way to use their expertise, the tools and toys of their trade, and a bit of the governmentās money, to accomplish something important.
Brought together in a roundabout way by New Timesā own reporting, the group that was gathered in the newspaperās conference room represented most of the key players in a task force that, among other things, plans to return to the Montebello, a 90-year-old sunken oil tanker thought to be holding some 3 million gallons of Santa Maria crude oil in its rusting hull, to assess just how likely it is to rupture and release its cargo. A report due this summer will discuss whether thereās oil on board, and what might happen if it leaks.
After that work is done, all theyāll have to do is figure out a way to do something about it.
Her story
America woke to news of war when the Japanese attacked Pearl Harbor. Central Coast residents learned just how brazen the Japanese had become two weeks after the assault, with the sinking of the Montebello. The 440-foot-long tanker was torpedoed by a Japanese submarine, the I-21, while motoring out of port from the now-defunct Union Oil Co. facility in Avila. It was on its way to Vancouver, having embarked despite losing one captain who refused to board amid reports that Japanese submarines were stalking tankers. Somehow, the torpedo missed the oil-filled holds and instead hit the pump room and dry storage area, taking out the upper wheelhouse in the process. Thankfully for the crew, the boat sank fairly slowly, giving enough time for all of the crew members to escape into lifeboats, even though the Japanese submarineās deck guns were shooting rounds just over their heads.
And it lies there still, in 900 feet of cold ocean, six miles off of Moonstone Beach with a broken bow but otherwise sitting eerily upright as if she were still motoring in 1941.
And so comes the worry. Assuming the oil is still there, and assuming the ship wonāt hold its cargo forever, what should be done?

If the story of other sunken tankers serves as a guide, the Montebello isnāt likely to give up the 3 million gallons thought to be in her tanks all at once. Barring a failure of her rivets, a sudden, massive hole in the large hull walls that were, after all, designed to keep oil inside, doesnāt rank high on the list of possibilities.
Instead, experience with such other ships as the S. S. Jacob Luckenbachā whose series of smaller spills killed some 50,000 birds and soiled San Francisco-area beaches before she was emptied in a $20 million cleanup operation in 2002āsuggests itās more likely that the thinner top of the hull will rust out first, allowing oil to leak out a bit at a time and well up in, say, her vents, pipes, and bulkheads. It might only be when a winter storm moves through, causing enough wave action even 900 feet below to rock her, that the gathered oil will start to spill forth in viscous globs and tarballs.
Where might those blobs head?
Thatās Melissa Boggsā job to figure out. Boggs is an environmental scientist with the California Department of Fish and Gameās Office of Spill Prevention and Response.
Armed with $100,000 from Californiaās Office of Oil Spill Prevention and Response that the task force has at its disposal, sheās already working with a Cal Poly scientist to come up with models of where the oil might head when and if it emerges, including in a āchronicā release. Using ocean currents and existing models for her work, sheās already come up with a preliminary model.
But that all assumes the ship isnāt leaking already, and Boggs isnāt one to make assumptions.
To that end, she has collected tar samples off the beaches of Cambria and a laboratory is analyzing them. Even with results, they wonāt be able to say for certain that the oil in the samples came from the Montebello, but they should be able to say, for example, if they came from the Santa Maria oil fields, the source of the shipās oil. It would be circumstantial evidence at best, but it could help with efforts to tap state and federal spill-cleanup funds.
Another of the key questions is what would happen in a ācatastrophicā release, in which large portions of the oil came out all at once after, say, an earthquake. Such a scenario is, in the crisp word choices of Coast Guard Capt. John Caplis, another task force leader: āLow probability, high consequence.ā
Boggs is modeling that possibility as well.
Among the reasons Blakeslee said he put the task force together:
The wreck sits just south of the Monterey Bay National Marine Sanctuary, a federally protected marine area that stretches from Marin to Cambria. Officials worry a spill could impact habitat, wildlife, and archeological sites.
The Diablo Canyon Nuclear Power Plant is well within the coastline that could be impacted from a spill. A Cambria man, Gary Talley, a retired engineer who has taken an interest in the Montebello, petitioned the Diablo Canyon Independent Safety Committee in 2008 to set up monitoring systems to detect oil heading toward the plantās intake valves. Jellyfish alone managed to force a partial shutdown in 2008 after they covered intake racks.
Complicating things further, the ship is itself not only an ecological threat but also both a historic artifact and a maritime oasis for sea life; sheās draped in torn nets because the area has long been considered a prime fishing habitat. A determination that endangered species would be affected by any work on the ship could make the whole matter far more complicated.

The money
How does a state leaking profound amounts of money justify spending anything, let alone the potential of millions of dollars, on a ship that as far as anyone knows isnāt yet leaking oil?
It wonāt be an easy bill to fill. Caplis, of the Coast Guard, who was involved with the efforts to drain the Luckenbach, noted that tab was paid with funds from the Federal Oil Spill Liability Trust Fund, created after the Exxon Valdez went aground. Filled with fees from the oil industry, the fund defrays cleanup operations when thereās no āresponsible partyā but also when an incident is deemed caused by an āAct of Godā or, interestingly with regard to the Montebello, an āAct of War.ā The Luckenbach effort was costly, but the Montebello is in far deeper water with potentially far more oil.
And the fund isnāt the only potential money source. Financial backing for the task force came from an āImminent Threat fund,ā and another state Fish and Game fund has money siphoned from a 5-cents-per-barrel assessment on crude oil transfers that move through state waters. Yet Blakeslee noted it might be difficult to attract any of those funds until the Montebello actually starts to leak.
In the case of the Lukenbach, mystery spills soiled beaches for years before the problem was tracked to its source and cleanup began.
āWe had thousands of sea birds washing up,ā Caplis said. āHopefully thatās not how weāre going to find out about the Montebello.ā
Hopefully.
For all his apparent ambitions and bedrock conservatism, the former Assembly Minority Leader has another side, one more reflective of the geophysicist he once was. Blakeslee said he likes ābig system problems,ā complex situations that donāt fit neatly into a box or any one bureaucratic flowchart. Sunken oil tankers are just such a problem.
Plus, he reads New Times.
Blakeslee said he knew nothing of the Montebelloās threats until New Times published articles on the ship in 2008.
āI was totally intrigued ⦠hereās this giant potential problem and no one wants to own it,ā he said.
With a mess of bureaucracies involved and no one really in charge, he noted that sunken ships are an easy problem to ignore.
āBut when you think about the implications of not getting it right, you think āSomeoneās got to own this,āā the assemblyman said.
And so Blakeslee began working to own it, contacting the descendent of the company that once owned it and coordinating experts from six state and federal agencies in an effort to at least assess the threat the ship poses and, hopefully, put in place a monitoring system or even a plan to drain the ship of her cargo. The task force has been together for a year.
Next, he said, he plans to put together a bill that will act as a vessel should urgent actionāand moneyābe called for.

History
Before this task force was assembled, the Montebello wasnāt unknown. Its sinking was reported in the Telegram Tribune, and articles about it have appeared periodically over the years. Robert Schwemmer, of the federal National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration, has been following the shipās history for years and even boarded a yellow submarine, the Delta, to dive it. Itās been surveyed twiceāonce in 1996 and once in 2003. While no telltale signs of oil leaks were discovered, divers said it looked to have noticeably deteriorated by the second dive.
If anyone can be said to have continued to ring the bell of concern about the Montebello, itās Schwemmer. His title is a mouthful, but his role with NOAA has him coordinating investigations and research into the five marine sanctuaries along the West Coast.
While the task force anticipates another dive on the wreck in coming months, itās unclear what form that will take: It may be explored via an unmanned sub.
One of the primary questions the task force is seeking to answer is whether thereās still oil down there. Itās conceivable she lost some, all, or most of her cargo when she sank, though Schwemmer said survivors didnāt recall seeing a telltale slick. So now the team plans to dive the wreck to precisely map its position and videotape the ship.
Then comes one of the many tricky parts of the operation: Finding out if thereās oil on board. Of course, they could simply drill into the tanks, but task-force members note that this idea has risks. For one thing, boring a hole into the ship could cause just the sort of slow spill theyāre concerned about. The process sounds simple but, as Judd Muskat, staff environmental scientist for OSRA, noted: āWeāre 900 feet down. Itās costly and dangerous.ā
Other goals of the task force are to study the stability of the ocean floor in the areaāpossibly toward the construction of an undersea platform from which to launch an operation.
At the very least, the task force members plan to launch some means of monitoring the wreck site for leaks. Efforts could be satellite-based, microwave pulse radar employed to look for patterns of unusually still waterāthe sort of stillness caused by oil slicks. They could take the form of a buoy-based monitoring system fixed above the wreck. Or, they could mean periodically flying over the wreck in a Fish and Game aircraft outfitted with special sensor equipment.
āItās important to let the public know that we do have agencies now that are looking at the Montebello,ā said Steve Sawyer, the attorney with the Office of Spill Prevention and Response.
The dive is planned to occur in the next couple of months, said Muskat. There are still plenty of obstacles to be worked out, but money for the dive isnāt one of them. Thereās so much they donāt know, but the prospect of funding in a time of scarcity has made them popular men.

Sawyer told a story about attending a āWrecks of the Worldā conference on the East Coast, where most sunken ships and the bulk of the salvage industry are located. Attendees ignored the California boy right up to the point when he mentioned how far along the task force was in assessing the Montebello.
āThen I became the most popular guy in the room,ā he said.
Not good enough
Talley, a former quality control and safety engineer with Hughes Aircraft, isnāt satisfied with what heās heard so far from the task force. To make his point, Talley reached into comedy history to invoke Bill Cosbyās tale of the Chicken Heart That Ate New York.
Just like the chicken heart, Talley said, at some point āthat oilās going to be coming out.ā And, just like the chicken heart, āitās going to be coming at us.ā
Talleyās own analysis puts the odds of material fatigue that would lead to a spillālikely due to corrosion that breaks through the rivets holding the cargo walls togetherāat about 25 percent each year.
He wants two things: He wants regular flights to begin immediately to survey the wreck area for spills, and he wants the Coast Guard to immediately begin conducting training exercises in the region in preparation for a potential spill. While Muskat says flights are already planned, the Coast Guard couldnāt immediately respond to the latter request.
āIt can travel five miles really fast,ā Talley warned. āSo theyād better darn well be ready.ā
Ā Contributor Patrick Howe previously reported on the Montebello and is the former managing editor of New Times, the Sunās sister paper in San Luis Obispo. Contact him at pathowe@gmail.com.
This article appears in Feb 11-18, 2010.

